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Scotland have won their last nine matches against Italy and should make it 10 in a row at Murrayfield on Saturday.
Just one of those nine wins has come by more than 27 points, though, so it’s worth backing Italy to keep it within that margin.
Under 53.5 total points
Only one of the last five meetings between Scotland and Italy has seen more than 53 points scored.
These two teams have also been the lowest scoring sides in the 2021 tournament so far.
Stuart Hogg to score anytime
Hogg will start at fly-half instead of full-back on Saturday, the first time he has played at No. 10 for his country.
That will mean he sees much more of the ball than usual, and that should lead to more chances for Scotland’s most dangerous runner.
Monty Ioane to score anytime
Ioane has been a revelation for Italy during his first Six Nations campaign, scoring two tries in four games.
He starts again on the left against Scotland, who have conceded three tries to wingers in their three matches to date.
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